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Surprise Surge in Philippine Inflation Rate to 5.3% in August

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Graphics by ASC

In a surprising turn of events, the inflation rate in the Philippines surged to 5.3% in August of this year, underscoring the persistent challenges posed by inflation.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) responded to this development, noting that the inflation rate remains within their projected range.

“The August 2023 inflation figure of 5.3 percent falls within the BSP’s anticipated range of 4.8 to 5.6 percent,” the BSP stated.

This unexpected rise in inflation was primarily driven by the increased costs of essential goods, particularly in the categories of oil and crucial agricultural commodities during the month of August.

The BSP further indicated that the inflationary pressures are expected to persist in the months ahead, with a gradual easing anticipated in the final quarter of the year.

“Inflation is expected to remain elevated in the forthcoming months, mainly due to the ongoing supply shocks affecting food prices and the upward trajectory of global oil prices. Nevertheless, we anticipate a deceleration in inflation, aligning with our target range by the fourth quarter of 2023,” the BSP commented.

Additionally, the central bank acknowledged that the inflation rate is tilted towards the upside, primarily influenced by the increasing prices of commodities.

“The overall risk assessment of the inflation outlook leans toward the upside, driven by the potential ramifications of additional transport fare hikes, unanticipated minimum wage adjustments in various regions, persistent supply constraints in key food sectors, El Niño weather patterns, and potential ripple effects of increased toll rates on key agricultural product prices. However, we recognize that the primary downside risk to the outlook stems from a weaker-than-anticipated global economic recovery,” the BSP concluded. (ASC)

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