Poe, Duterte, Top Contenders for Presidency: Latest Magdalo Survey

Senator Grace Poe and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte are in a tight race for presidency, with ratings of 31 percent and 29.5 percent, respectively, according to the latest Magdalo survey conducted last March 2-4, 2016.

Congressman Francisco Ashley Acedillo, Magdalo party list representative, explained that the survey was conducted prior to the decision of the Supreme Court to allow Poe to run for president.

“This SC ruling would definitely give her bump in the next survey,” Acedillo further explained.

Following Poe and Duterte are Vice President Jejomar Binay with 21.5 percent, former DILG Secretary Mar Roxas with 14.3 percent, and Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago with 3.3 percent.

Meanwhile, still in a close vice presidential race, are Senator Chiz Escudero with 29.4 percent and Senator Bongbong Marcos with 28.7 percent. Congressman Leni Robredo dislodged Senator Alan Cayetano in third place, with 15.8 percent. Cayetano, whose rating dropped in almost all areas, got 11.4 percent, while closely trailing him is Senator Antonio Trillanes IV with 10.3 percent, followed by Senator Gringo Honasan with 3.8 percent.

For the senatorial race, leading candidates are Senator Vicente Sotto with 51.3 percent, Senator Ralph Recto with 42.5 percent, former Senator Panfilo Lacson with 39.3 percent, former Senator Kiko Pangilinan with 34.5 percent, former Senator Dick Gordon with 34 percent, Senate President Frank Drilon with 33.2 percent, Saranggani Congressman Manny Pacquiao with 32.6 percent, former Senator Migs Zubiri with 31.4 percent, former Department of Justice Secretary Leila de Lima with 26.1 percent, Senator Serge Osmeña III with 25.6 percent, Former Akbayan Representative Risa Hontiveros with 24.8 percent, former TESDA Secretary Joel Villanueva with 21.6 percent, Valenzuela Congressman Win Gatchalian with 21 percent, Senator TG Guingona with 18.4 percent, and former MMDA Chairman Francis Tolentino with 18.3 percent.

Senators, Percent
1 SOTTO, Vicente 51.3
2 RECTO, Ralph 42.5
3 LACSON, Panfilo Ping 39.3
4 PANGILINAN, Kiko 34.5
5 GORDON, Dick 34.0
6 DRILON, Frank 33.2
7 PACQUIAO, Manny 32.6
8 ZUBIRI, Migz 31.4
9 DE LIMA, Leila 26.1
10 OSMENA, Sergio III 25.6
11 HONTIVEROS, Risa 24.8
12 VILLANUEVA, Joel 21.6
13 GATCHALIAN, Win 21.0
14 GUINGONA, TG 18.4
15 TOLENTINO, Francis 18.3

Acedillo further explained that similar to Magdalo’s previous surveys, randomly selected respondents, who are registered voters, were given a list of candidates running for president/vice president/senators, and were asked “If elections would be held today, who among the following candidates would you vote for?”

The survey employed a multi-stage probability sampling design with almost 3000 respondents distributed across the different regions of the country, and has a margin of error of 1.8%.

senate.gov.ph