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World Watches Closely as China’s Economy Slows Down

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Graphics by ASC

China is one of the global economic powerhouses in the world, second only to the United States, and has begun to experience a noticeable slowdown in its economic growth. The economic slowdown of China has raised concerns both domestically and internationally as the impacts can ripple through various sectors, influencing global trade, employment, and economic stability.

China’s economic growth fell short of expectations as it only recorded a growth rate of 6.3%, lower than the 7.3% forecasted by a Reuters Poll. China’s official growth target for the year is around 5%. However, when accounting for the lingering effects of the Covid Zero rules in 2022, growth for 2023 is expected to be closer to 3%. This stark reduction from pre-pandemic averages signals a significant economic shift. Manufacturing has also seen a steep decline as demand slows down domestically and internationally. Notably, exports have stalled in the US and Europe, contributing to a reduction in manufacturing activity since July of this year.

China’s property sector, a crucial pillar of its economy, is facing a crisis that compounds the economic slowdown. Many real estate developers are struggling with debt. Some developers have already stopped their construction on properties they had previously sold, triggering disruptions in the housing market. This prompted some homeowners to stop paying their mortgages. The mounting debt crisis among developers has raised concerns about the stability of financial institutions that have invested heavily in the real estate sector. 80 developers already defaulted in the last two years and could possibly grow in number.

China’s Economy Could Affect the Rest of the World

China’s economic woes ripple around the world, as most economies depend on the country’s strong manufacturing capabilities and import/export potential. With demand for Chinese goods on the decline, companies heavily reliant on China’s production are facing challenges. This can lead to massive layoffs around the world, as many jobs and production processes are closely linked to China. With China currently facing a property crisis, mineral-exporting countries like Brazil and Australia, which are sensitive to China’s property cycles will be affected.

Most country’s tourism sector, especially the Philippines is also dependent on China, with the slow resumption of outbound travel by Chinese tourists due to economic uncertainties impacting countries dependent on tourism revenue. The simultaneous economic slowdowns of China and the US could worsen global economic challenges. The economic slowdown is also impacting the tech sector, with countries like South Korea and Taiwan reporting double-digit drops in tech product shipments in the first half of the year.

The economic slowdown in China could also spell trouble for the Philippines. China is a significant trading partner of the country. The impact on the Philippines’ trade inputs, particularly in the food production sector becomes clear and could lead to higher prices on food commodities. China’s economic slowdown also affects the importation of both finished products and raw materials, influencing the prices of goods in the Philippines.

China is one of the major manufacturers of tech products for the Philippines. With China facing a decline in its manufacturing sector, this could disrupt the importation of tech goods to the Philippines.

Meanwhile, the country also relies on China as a major export destination. China’s economic slowdown poses challenges to Philippine exports, potentially dampening economic growth.

China is the second largest economy in the world, and its economic slowdown can affect the rest of the world. The economic challenges that China is facing right now ripple across other countries and industries. (ASC)

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